{"id":5481,"date":"2015-11-02T12:19:00","date_gmt":"2015-11-02T20:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/in-reversal-death-rates-rise-for-middle-aged-whites\/5481\/"},"modified":"2015-11-02T12:19:00","modified_gmt":"2015-11-02T20:19:00","slug":"in-reversal-death-rates-rise-for-middle-aged-whites","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/in-reversal-death-rates-rise-for-middle-aged-whites\/","title":{"rendered":"In Reversal, Death Rates Rise For Middle-Aged Whites"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-style:italic;font-size:16px\">By  <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/health-shots\/2015\/11\/02\/453192132\/in-reversal-death-rates-rise-for-middle-aged-whites?utm_medium=RSS&amp;utm_campaign=healthcare\">Rob Stein<\/a><\/span>  <\/p>\n<div class=\"ftpimagefix\" style=\"float:left\"><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/health-shots\/2015\/11\/02\/453192132\/in-reversal-death-rates-rise-for-middle-aged-whites?utm_medium=RSS&amp;utm_campaign=healthcare\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" src=\"http:\/\/media.npr.org\/assets\/img\/2015\/11\/02\/crowded-street-2_custom-59a144bdb867efec0e3b18f5d42c12aa570cba42-s1100-c15.jpg\" title=\"Suicides and drug overdoses have contributed to a marked increase in the mortality rate for middle-aged whites.\" alt=\"Suicides and drug overdoses have contributed to a marked increase in the mortality rate for middle-aged whites.\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div><strong><\/strong> <strong>3:46<\/strong><\/div>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/pd.npr.org\/anon.npr-mp3\/npr\/atc\/2015\/11\/20151102_atc_in_reversal_death_rates_rise_for_middle-aged_whites.mp3?dl=1\"><span>Download<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>Suicides and drug overdoses have contributed to a marked increase in the mortality rate for middle-aged whites. <strong>iStockphoto<\/strong> <strong>hide caption<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>i<\/strong>toggle caption <span>iStockphoto<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>A decades-long decline in the death rate of middle-aged white Americans has reversed in recent years, according to a surprising new analysis released Monday.<\/p>\n<p>The cause of the reversal remains unclear. Researchers speculate it might be the result of the bad economy fueling a rise in suicides, plus overdoses from prescription painkillers and illegal drugs like heroin, and alcohol abuse.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That could be just a volatile mix that could set off something like this,&#8221; says <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.princeton.edu\/deaton\/home\">Angus Deaton<\/a>, a professor of economics at Princeton University who conducted the research with his wife, <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.princeton.edu\/~accase\/\">Anne Case<\/a>, another Princeton economist.<\/p>\n<p>Deaton was awarded the <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nobelprize.org\/nobel_prizes\/economic-sciences\/laureates\/2015\/\">2015 Nobel Prize in Economics<\/a> for his work on poverty.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, the U.S. mortality rate has been falling by about 2 percent a year since the 1970s.<\/p>\n<p>But the upsurge in suicides and drug overdoses among middle-age whites, among other trends, prompted Deaton and Case to look more closely at this group. They analyzed data from CDC and other sources, including other countries.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&#8220;Pretty quickly we started falling off our chairs because of what we found,&#8221; says Deaton, whose findings were <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/cgi\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.1518393112\">published<\/a> by the <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The mortality rate among whites ages 45 to 54 had increased by a half-percent a year from 381.5 per 100,000 in 1999 to 415.4 in 2013, the most recent year for which data are available, the researchers found.<\/p>\n<p>Even so, the mortality rate for middle-aged African-Americans was higher: 581.9 per 100,000 in 2013. Hispanics fared better with a mortality rate of 269.6 per 100,000 in the same year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There was this extraordinary turnaround&#8221; among whites, Deaton says, likening the reversal to a large ship suddenly changing directions.<\/p>\n<p>Based on the findings, Deaton and Case calculated that 488,500 Americans had died during that period who would have been alive if the trend hadn&#8217;t reversed.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ve been talking about this at various academic meetings and you look around the room and peoples&#8217; mouths are just hanging open,&#8221; Deaton says.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is a deeply concerning trend,&#8221; says Dr. Thomas Frieden, who heads the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention but wasn&#8217;t involved in this research. &#8220;We shouldn&#8217;t see death rates going up in any group in society.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Princeton researchers analyzed data from other Western countries and didn&#8217;t see the same trend.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s particularly important that they don&#8217;t see it in other countries,&#8221; says <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nia.nih.gov\/about\/staff\/dbsr\/haaga-john\">John Haaga<\/a>, the acting director of behavioral and social research at the National Institute on Aging, which funded the research. &#8220;So something&#8217;s clearly going wrong with this age group in America.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The trend appears to be being driven by increased mortality among those with the least amount of education.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Those are the people who have really been hammered by the long-term economic malaise,&#8221; Deaton says. &#8220;Their wages in real terms have been going down. So they get into middle age having their expectations just not met at all.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It remains unclear why the mortality rate only increased among whites and not African-Americans or Hispanics.<\/p>\n<p>Deaton and others have a theory about the difference for whites.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;One possible explanation is that for whites their parents had done better economically and they had been doing pretty well. Then all of a sudden the financial floor dropped out from underneath them,&#8221; says <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dartmouth.edu\/~jskinner\/\">Jon Skinner<\/a>, a professor of economic and medicine at Dartmouth College who co-authored a <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/cgi\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.1519763112\">commentary<\/a> accompanying the article. &#8220;For African-American and Hispanic households things had never been that optimistic and so perhaps the shock wasn&#8217;t quite as great.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>This entry passed through the Full-Text RSS service &#8211; if this is your content and you&#8217;re reading it on someone else&#8217;s site, please read the FAQ at fivefilters.org\/content-only\/faq.php#publishers.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Source:: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/health-shots\/2015\/11\/02\/453192132\/in-reversal-death-rates-rise-for-middle-aged-whites?utm_medium=RSS&amp;utm_campaign=healthcare\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"In Reversal, Death Rates Rise For Middle-Aged Whites\" rel=\"nofollow\">http:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/health-shots\/2015\/11\/02\/453192132\/in-reversal-death-rates-rise-for-middle-aged-whites?utm_medium=RSS&amp;utm_campaign=healthcare<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ftpimagefix\" style=\"float:left\"><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/health-shots\/2015\/11\/02\/453192132\/in-reversal-death-rates-rise-for-middle-aged-whites?utm_medium=RSS&amp;utm_campaign=healthcare\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" src=\"http:\/\/media.npr.org\/assets\/img\/2015\/11\/02\/crowded-street-2_custom-59a144bdb867efec0e3b18f5d42c12aa570cba42-s1100-c15.jpg\" title=\"Suicides and drug overdoses have contributed to a marked increase in the mortality rate for middle-aged whites.\" alt=\"Suicides and drug overdoses have contributed to a marked increase in the mortality rate for middle-aged whites.\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div><strong><\/strong> <strong>3:46<\/strong><\/div>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/pd.npr.org\/anon.npr-mp3\/npr\/atc\/2015\/11\/20151102_atc_in_reversal_death_rates_rise_for_middle-aged_whites.mp3?dl=1\"><span>Download<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>Suicides and drug overdoses have contributed to a marked increase in the mortality rate for middle-aged whites. <strong>iStockphoto<\/strong> <strong>hide caption<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>i<\/strong>toggle caption <span>iStockphoto<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>A decades-long decline in the death rate of middle-aged white Americans has reversed in recent years, according to a surprising new analysis released Monday.<\/p>\n<p>The cause of the reversal remains unclear. Researchers speculate it might be the result of the bad economy fueling a rise in suicides, plus overdoses from prescription painkillers and illegal drugs like heroin, and alcohol abuse.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That could be just a volatile mix that could set off something like this,&#8221; says <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/scholar.princeton.edu\/deaton\/home\">Angus Deaton<\/a>, a professor of economics at Princeton University who conducted the research with his wife, <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.princeton.edu\/~accase\/\">Anne Case<\/a>, another Princeton economist.<\/p>\n<p>Deaton was awarded the <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nobelprize.org\/nobel_prizes\/economic-sciences\/laureates\/2015\/\">2015 Nobel Prize in Economics<\/a> for his work on poverty.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, the U.S. mortality rate has been falling by about 2 percent a year since the 1970s.<\/p>\n<p>But the upsurge in suicides and drug overdoses among middle-age whites, among other trends, prompted Deaton and Case to look more closely at this group. They analyzed data from CDC and other sources, including other countries.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&#8220;Pretty quickly we started falling off our chairs because of what we found,&#8221; says Deaton, whose findings were <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/cgi\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.1518393112\">published<\/a> by the <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The mortality rate among whites ages 45 to 54 had increased by a half-percent a year from 381.5 per 100,000 in 1999 to 415.4 in 2013, the most recent year for which data are available, the researchers found.<\/p>\n<p>Even so, the mortality rate for middle-aged African-Americans was higher: 581.9 per 100,000 in 2013. Hispanics fared better with a mortality rate of 269.6 per 100,000 in the same year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There was this extraordinary turnaround&#8221; among whites, Deaton says, likening the reversal to a large ship suddenly changing directions.<\/p>\n<p>Based on the findings, Deaton and Case calculated that 488,500 Americans had died during that period who would have been alive if the trend hadn&#8217;t reversed.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ve been talking about this at various academic meetings and you look around the room and peoples&#8217; mouths are just hanging open,&#8221; Deaton says.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is a deeply concerning trend,&#8221; says Dr. Thomas Frieden, who heads the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention but wasn&#8217;t involved in this research. &#8220;We shouldn&#8217;t see death rates going up in any group in society.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Princeton researchers analyzed data from other Western countries and didn&#8217;t see the same trend.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s particularly important that they don&#8217;t see it in other countries,&#8221; says <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nia.nih.gov\/about\/staff\/dbsr\/haaga-john\">John Haaga<\/a>, the acting director of behavioral and social research at the National Institute on Aging, which funded the research. &#8220;So something&#8217;s clearly going wrong with this age group in America.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The trend appears to be being driven by increased mortality among those with the least amount of education.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Those are the people who have really been hammered by the long-term economic malaise,&#8221; Deaton says. &#8220;Their wages in real terms have been going down. So they get into middle age having their expectations just not met at all.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It remains unclear why the mortality rate only increased among whites and not African-Americans or Hispanics.<\/p>\n<p>Deaton and others have a theory about the difference for whites.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;One possible explanation is that for whites their parents had done better economically and they had been doing pretty well. Then all of a sudden the financial floor dropped out from underneath them,&#8221; says <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dartmouth.edu\/~jskinner\/\">Jon Skinner<\/a>, a professor of economic and medicine at Dartmouth College who co-authored a <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/cgi\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.1519763112\">commentary<\/a> accompanying the article. &#8220;For African-American and Hispanic households things had never been that optimistic and so perhaps the shock wasn&#8217;t quite as great.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>This entry passed through the Full-Text RSS service &#8211; if this is your content and you&#8217;re reading it on someone else&#8217;s site, please read the FAQ at fivefilters.org\/content-only\/faq.php#publishers.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5481","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-health"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5481","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5481"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5481\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/associatednews.info\/content\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}