October 6, 2016

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'Early School Leavers' Face Dismal Social And Economic Prospects

People stand in line to register for a job fair in Miami Lakes, Fla. A new study shows a growing number of young people in developed countries are giving up on work, school and training. Lynne Sladky/AP hide caption

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Lynne Sladky/AP

Add to the list of worrisome economic trends what economists call “NEETs” — young people who are Not in Education, Employment or Training.

Their numbers are growing, now 40 million in the 35 member countries of the OECD — the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. And two-thirds of them are not actively looking for work.

The figures come from the biennial OECD report, Society at a Glance 2016.

In the United States, 14.4 percent of young people age 15-29 are NEETs, according to the OECD.

This report follows others that illustrate how the Great Recession disproportionately affected young people. It says one in 10 jobs held by workers under 30 have disappeared. And the OECD says the trend could affect economic mobility, as well as national and economic security for years to come.

In particular, the report highlights the dismal prospects of “early school leavers,” young people who do not complete secondary school.

Imara Jones, an economist who looks at race and gender, says for as many as one in seven young people, “that means that they’re totally outside of the economic lifestyle of the country, any kind of life of the country.”

The OECD gives a snapshot of the report.

The high number of NEETs also represents a major economic cost, estimated at between USD 360 billion and USD 605 billion, equivalent to between 0.9% and 1.5% of OECD GDP.

Young people who finished school at 16, without completing upper secondary education, make up over 30% of NEETs. Foreign-born youth are on average 1.5 times more likely to be NEET than native youth and 2-2.25 times more likely in Germany, Austria, the Netherlands and Norway.

“It is getting harder and harder for young people with low skills to find a job, let alone a steady job in today’s workplace,” said Stefano Scarpetta, OECD Director of Employment, Labour and Social Affairs. “Unless more is done to improve opportunities in education and training for everyone, there is a growing risk of an increasingly divided society.”

Fighting early school leaving is essential, says the OECD. Governments must ensure that young people obtain at least an upper-secondary qualification so they can continue in education or gain vocational skills. Despite progress, one in six 25-34 year olds in OECD countries left school before upper secondary.

Women are 1.4 times more likely to become NEET than men on average. For many of them, this is because they are looking after small children and the high cost of childcare is a major barrier to employment: in the US, Ireland, United Kingdom and New Zealand, childcare costs for a lone parent can account for between one-third and a half of net income.

Jacob Kirkegaard, a senior fellow with the Peterson Institute for International Economics, says, “Obviously this is not just an economics number, it actually has real implications on other things as well,” such as national security.

“All these young people, they have got nothing else to do and they are sitting in the basement surfing on the Internet,” Kirkegaard says. “And all of a sudden they get sucked into some radical ideology of some kind.”

“There is no doubt,” Kirkegaard adds, regardless of the country, “these numbers are materially worse for minority youth.”

Both economists worry that in many ways the problem is greater here in the U.S.

“The problem in Europe is more of a cyclical nature,” says Kirkegaard. “That’s because workers there are more likely to have training and be looking for work.”

In the U.S. he regards the problem as structural, because so many young people in the U.S. have given up on the economy. He warns that without gaining an economic foothold early on, the risk that this group “basically remains high school drop-outs for their life is much higher. And that basically is a structural problem.”

Economist Jones sees in this report an explanation for many of today’s social problems. Jones says countries that are key to global economic growth “have a structural problem of future growth where they have millions and millions of young people who are not consuming, nor are they investing in themselves through education.” It’s one of the reasons Jones postulates why economic growth remains slow.

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Today in Movie Culture: 'Avengers: Infinity War' Fan Trailer, Muppets Take 'Fifty Shades of Grey' and More

Here are a bunch of little bites to satisfy your hunger for movie culture:

Movie Parody of the Day:

You will never see Kermit the Frog and Miss Piggy the same way again after watching this well-edited Muppets version of Fifty Shades of Grey from Darth Blender:

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Fake Trailer of the Day:

This fan-made trailer for Avengers: Infinity War from Screen Rant ends on a funny note but also hints at just how crowded that movie is going to be:

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Franchise Consistency of the Day:

Couch Tomato shows us 24 reasons why all the X-Men movies are the same:

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Adorable Cosplay of the Day:

Bruce Campbell is a pretty cool cat, but here he is as a real cat — or the other way around — in this Evil Dead cosplay. See more pics at Fashionably Geek:

Gag Reel of the Day:

The cast of Star Trek Beyond make a lot of innuendo in this blooper reel via Yahoo Movies:

Video Essay of the Day:

Frame by Frame looks at Kubo and the Two Strings and how Laika is changing the face of stop-motion animation, with a history lesson on the format to boot:

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Vintage Image of the Day:

Elisabeth Shue, who was born on this day in 1963, with co-star Ralph Macchio and director John G. Avildsen pose together on the set of The Karate Kid in 1983:

Actor in the Spotlight:

Screen Crush profiles Harrison Ford in the latest episode of the trivia series You Think You Know Movies?:

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Supercut of the Day:

Ranker spotlights ridiculous scenes of hacking in movies in their latest supercut:

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Classic Trailer of the Day:

Today is the 10th anniversary of the release of Martin Scorsese’s The Departed. Watch the original trailer for the movie below.

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and

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Countries Around The World Beat The U.S. On Paid Parental Leave

(Left) Edith Einarsson, Kristina Ingemarsdotter Persson, Samuel Einarsson and Per Einarsson. (Center) Yao Zhang, Shanshan Zhang and Rachel Meng. (Right) Lama Dossary and her daughter Leila. Linda Johansson/Courtesy of Kristina Ingemarsdotter Persson; Courtesy of Rachel Meng; Bushra Al-Hinai/Courtesy of Lama Dossary hide caption

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Linda Johansson/Courtesy of Kristina Ingemarsdotter Persson; Courtesy of Rachel Meng; Bushra Al-Hinai/Courtesy of Lama Dossary

Out of 193 countries in the United Nations, only a small handful do not have a national paid parental leave law: New Guinea, Suriname, a few South Pacific island nations and the United States.

In the U.S., that means a lot moms and dads go back to work much sooner after the birth of a baby than they would like because they can’t afford unpaid time off.

Jody Heymann, founding director of the World Policy Analysis Center at UCLA, says the global landscape for paid parental leave looks bright, but the U.S. is far behind.

“The U.S. is absolutely the only high-income country that doesn’t, and as you can tell by the numbers, overwhelmingly the world provides it,” she says. “The world not only provides paid maternity leave, but they provide adequate paid paternity leave.”

Countries first began thinking about paid parental leave during the Industrial Revolution, Heymann says.

“In the 1800s — as soon as women started moving from working at home to working in factories — countries realized they needed to do something to ensure that women could work and care,” she says. “So they started to provide across Europe and across Latin America and elsewhere paid maternity leave — leave that would care for families, for kids and ensure that economies could succeed.”

Later on, representatives from around the world met through the United Nations and agreed to strive for a minimum of 14 weeks of leave, paid at two-thirds of a worker’s salary up to a cap. This was decades ago, and today, most countries meet or exceed that minimum. Heymann says at least 50 countries now provide six months or more of paid maternity leave.

The driving motivation behind setting a global standard for paid parental leave comes down to common sense and economic benefits, Heymann says.

“In most countries, families rely on income from both the mom and dad,” she says. “Families can’t afford to have a lengthy period without income for one of them. At the same time, newborns absolutely need parental care. So this being a fundamental piece of social insurance or what governments do as part of their social security really is common sense.

“The second piece that drives countries is I’ve spoken to finance ministers from around the world who say one of their greatest sources of success economically is getting women into the workforce in equal numbers,” Heymann continues.

Brigitte Beltre, a mother from France, explains a common way that countries pay for this leave.

“You have to know it’s not for free,” she says. “In France, you have to work a certain amount of time to have paid maternity leave. You have to give to the system. It’s like a savings account.”

Governments rely on a social insurance structure, where small contributions create a pool of money that workers can draw from when they need to take leave.

“Those contributions to the government may come from employers, employees and the government’s general revenue, but they pay it through a social insurance system, so that no business has a heavy burden — if they’re a small employer and one person’s out, or if they’re a larger employer, but disproportionately have young parents as employees,” Heymann says. “That’s how they spread the responsibility evenly.”

Canada has a similar set-up to France. Tatiana Mellema in Vancouver says being able to dip into that fund gave her enough time off to bounce back from the major medical event of giving birth.

“Physically the recovery of having a child is huge,” Mellema says. “It took, for me, months.”

She says it also gave her time to care for her new son at his most vulnerable stage.

Tatiana Mellema plays with her son, Luca Kirton. Travis Kirton/Courtesy of Tatiana Mellema hide caption

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Travis Kirton/Courtesy of Tatiana Mellema

“The financial support was essential to getting us through that year and giving me that time with him,” Mellema says. “Had I not have had it, I probably would have had to go back to work fairly quickly after I had him, which I can’t even imagine doing, because my experience is just having that year with him was so important.”

Heymann says paid parental leave policies have a significant impact on infant and maternal health.

“So there are powerful, long-term studies showing that providing paid maternity leave, for example, lowers infant mortality,” she says. “Beyond this, we know that women who have sufficient paid maternity leave are much more likely to breastfeed, and breastfeeding lowers the risk of all sorts of infectious diseases, it increases and improves cognitive outcomes, and it benefits the woman’s health.”

In Sweden, the government provides almost 16 months of paid leave to be used between two parents.

Per Einarsson, a video game developer who lives in Stockholm, Sweden, says he and his partner, Kristina, split that paid time off evenly when each of their two kids were born. He says that time helped him to be a more engaged dad.

“It was nice to be educated, if you may, to learn how to take care of my children and to bond with them, and then of course it was nice to give Kristina the possibility to get back to her job and focus on her career as well,” he says.

Einarsson says that time set a tone in their home — one that’s felt years later. Their kids are now three and five years old.

“I think in their eyes we were always very equal to them and still are,” he says. “And I think that felt good to us and hopefully to our children as well.”

But Sweden is not the norm. Most countries don’t offer equal leave to men and women. Policies around the world tend to be more centered on moms than dads. But Heymann says the most competitive countries that do provide it show that paid paternity leave is economically possible.

“Overwhelmingly, the most competitive countries in the world — the ones with the strongest economies and the lowest unemployment — do provide paid leave for dads, showing this is feasible,” she says.

And when women do get or take more paid leave than men, there can be an unintended downside: It makes it harder for women of child-bearing age to get hired or promoted.

In China, many mothers experience workplace discrimination after taking maternity leave despite laws that prohibit it.

“Although the labor law forbids the employer to fire female employees in one year after giving birth, the bosses can find ways to let the employee feel uncomfortable,” says Meng Meng, a mother who lives in China.

Lama Dossary of Saudia Arabia says taking paid leave changed how she was treated at work. There, mothers receive 10 weeks of paid time off, and fathers get three days.

“When I went back I did feel like it did affect how I was looked at, how I was treated,” Dossary says. “My promotions got stopped for a while. I wasn’t given the same amount of work, I wasn’t given the same amount of responsibility.

“I don’t know how it would affect things, but I do think that maybe if other people were able to take such leave off — whether to take care of their older parents or a father maybe has to take some time off because he has a child that needs special care for a while — I think that would at least change the perception,” she says.

According to Heymann, the U.S. is an outlier in a few ways when it comes to global parental leave polices.

On one hand, the U.S. is the only developed country without a national paid parental leave policy.

“We urgently need to catch up in the United States,” Heymann says. “For a high-income country, we have some of the worst outcomes for our infants. We have some of the highest rates of infant mortality. We have huge health inequalities.”

But despite this, Heymann says the U.S. stands out in one pretty positive way.

The U.S. Family and Medical Leave Act guarantees 12 weeks of job-protected time off equally to many American moms and dads. People caring for a sick parent or even themselves during a long illness also qualify.

Heymann points to this law as a good starting point because it treats mothers and fathers equally. But this is unpaid leave, and it doesn’t apply to about half of the American work force.

“The problem is the fact that it’s unpaid means it’s unaffordable to many Americans,” Heymann says. “And all of the caveats that come with the Family [and] Medical Leave Act that have to do with how many hours you’ve worked, how big your employer is, etc., means that millions of Americans aren’t covered. So we need to take that basis, make it paid and ensure that all Americans are covered.”

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